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金属矿山 ›› 2024, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (3): 172-.

• 地质与测量 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于InSAR-COMSOL 的露天矿边坡稳定性分析及 形变预测

李如仁1 葛永权1 李梦晨2 孙加瑶1 王彦平3 刘明霞4   

  1. 1. 沈阳建筑大学交通与测绘工程学院,辽宁 沈阳 110168;2. 沈阳建筑大学土木工程学院,辽宁 沈阳 110168; 3. 北方工业大学信息学院,北京 100144;4. 沈阳市城乡建设事务服务中心轨道交通事务部,辽宁 沈阳 110014
  • 出版日期:2023-03-15 发布日期:2024-04-25
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(编号:5177040477)。

Stability Analysis and Deformation Prediction of Open-Pit Mine Slopes Based on InSAR and COMSOL

LI Ruren1 GE Yongquan1 LI Mengchen2 SUN Jiayao1 WANG Yanping3 LIU Mingxia4   

  1. 1. School of Transportation and Geomatics Engineering,Shenyang Jianzhu University,Shenyang 110168,China; 2. School of Civil Engineering,Shenyang Jianzhu University,Shenyang 110168,China; 3. School of Information Science and Technology,North China University of Technology,Beijing 100144,China; 4. Department of Rail Transportation Affairs,Shenyang Center for Urban and Rural Construction,Shenyang 110014,China
  • Online:2023-03-15 Published:2024-04-25

摘要: 露天矿地表形变特征的快速、准确分析及形变趋势精准预测是推进矿山绿色安全生产的重要保障。针 对当前形变监测技术存在的时空采样率低、成本高,预测模型参数难确定等问题,以东鞍山露天铁矿为工程背景,提 出了一种融合短基线子集干涉测量(SBAS-InSAR)技术和COMSOL 有限元模拟的边坡稳定性分析和形变预测一体化 方法。首先,利用SBAS-InSAR 技术处理2018 年5 月—2020 年6 月获取的62 景Sentinel-1A 升轨SAR 数据,获取了该 区域2 a 内地表形变时间序列,分析了其形变时空演化特征。然后,采用COMSOL Multiphysics 软件模拟外界强降雨 影响下的典型沉降区域边坡稳定性状况,探讨了坡体损伤裂化规律及形变机理。基于此,利用粒子群算法(PSO)优化 长短期时间记忆(LSTM)网络,搭建了形变时序预测最优模型,开展典型沉降区的形变时序预测,并引入平均绝对误 差和均方根误差作为预测精度评价指标。结果表明:矿区西部沉降相对严重,年均沉降速率高达47. 8 mm/ a,形变速 率与区域降雨量存在显著相关性。相较于传统形变预测模型,PSO-LSTM 模型的2 种误差至少降低了14%和36%,且 能够有效反映采区地表形变波动趋势,为滑坡灾前预警提供了新思路。

Abstract: Rapid and accurate analysis of surface deformation characteristics and accurate prediction of deformation trends in open-pit mines is an important guarantee for promoting green and safe production in mines. Aiming at the problems of the current deformation monitoring techniques,such as low temporal and spatial sampling rate,high cost,and difficult to determine the parameters of prediction model,an integrated method of slope stability analysis and deformation prediction based on short baseline subset interferometry (SBAS-InSAR) technique and COMSOL finite element simulation was proposed by taking East Anshan Open-pit Iron Mine as the engineering background. Firstly,62 views of Sentinel-1A up-orbit SAR data acquired from May 2018 to June 2020 were processed by SBAS-InSAR technology. The time series of surface deformation in the region within 2 years could be acquired and the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of the deformation,and the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of the deformation were analyzed. Then,COMSOL software was used to simulate the slope stability condition of a typical subsidence area under the influence of external heavy rainfall. The damage cracking law and deformation mechanism of the slope were explored. Based on this,the particle swarm algorithm (PSO) was adopted to optimize the long-short-term time memory (LSTM) network to build an optimal model for deformation time series prediction and to carry out deformation time series prediction within the typical settlement area. The average absolute error and root mean square error were introduced as the evaluation indexes of prediction accuracy. The results show that the subsidence in the western part of the mining area is relatively serious,and the average annual subsidence rate is as high as 47. 8 mm/ a. There is a significant correlation between the deformation rate and the quantity of local rainfall. Compared with the traditional deformation prediction model, the two errors of PSO-LSTM model are reduced by at least 14% and 36% respectively. It can effectively reflect the fluctuation trend of surface deformation in the mining area,which provides a potential approach for early warning of landslides.