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金属矿山 ›› 2026, Vol. 55 ›› Issue (8): 69-.

• 采矿工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

多智能预测模型驱动的锯齿形节理岩体抗剪强度预测

董军庭1 王志东1 幸吉祥1 袁海平2   

  1. 1.福建马坑矿业股份有限公司 福建 龙岩 364000;2.合肥工业大学土木与水利工程学院 安徽 合肥 230000
  • 出版日期:2026-08-15 发布日期:2026-09-04
  • 作者简介:董军庭(1981—),男,总经理兼总工程师,高级工程师。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金面上项目(编号:51874112)。

Shear Strength Prediction of Saw-tooth Jointed Rock Masses Driven by Multi-Intelligent Models

DONG Junting1 WANG Zhidong1 XING Jixiang1 YUAN Haiping2   

  1. 1.Fujian Makeng Mining Co.,Ltd.,Longyan 364000,China; 2.School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230000,China
  • Online:2026-08-15 Published:2026-09-04

摘要: 锯齿形节理是岩体力学研究中重要的理想化模型,其抗剪强度精准预测对岩体工程意义重大。本研究 融合群智能优化技术与可解释数据驱动方法,以50组直剪试验数据为基础,选取4项关键参数为输入、抗剪强度为输 出,构建4种机器学习基础模型与2种群智能优化组合模型,通过6项指标量化评价模型性能,并结合TreeSHAP方法 解析输入参数特征重要度。研究发现,群智能优化组合模型预测性能显著优于传统机器学习模型,其中CSA-XGBoost 为最优模型,可实现精准预测;节理面法向应力与节理倾角为核心影响参数,累计特征重要度超58%。本研究为锯齿 形节理岩体抗剪强度定量评估提供了高效技术路线,也为同类岩体力学参数智能预测提供参考,后续可补充样本与 工程验证提升模型泛化能力。

关键词: 群智能优化技术 , TreeSHAP方法 , CSA-XGBoost , 剪切强度

Abstract: Saw-tooth joints serve as a crucial idealized model in rock mechanics research,where precise prediction of shear strength holds significant engineering implications.This study integrates swarm intelligence optimization technology with interpretable data-driven methods.Based on 50 sets of direct shear test data,four key parameters were selected as inputs and shear strength as the output to construct four machine learning base models and two swarm intelligence optimization composite models.Model performance was quantitatively evaluated through six metrics,with TreeSHAP method applied to analyze input parameter feature importance.It is found that the prediction performance of the group intelligent optimization combination mod el is significantly better than that of the traditional machine learning model.CSA-XGBoost is the optimal model,which can a chieve accurate prediction.The normal stress and joint inclination at joint surfaces were identified as core influencing parame ters,contributing over 58% cumulative feature importance.This study provides an efficient technical approach for quantitative assessment of shear strength in sawtooth jointed rock masses,offering valuable insights for intelligent prediction of similar rock mechanics parameters.Future work could enhance model generalization capabilities through sample supplementation and engi neering validation.

Key words: ensemble intelligent optimization technique,TreeSHAP method,CSA-XGBoost,shear strength

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