关键词: 开采沉陷, 残余, 参数, 预测

Abstract: In predicting the residual residence of mine goaf, the selection of probability integral parameters is of great importance.There is no rule to follow and all will be made according to your experience.To solve this issue, the paper proposes a simple prediction model for selecting the parameters of probability integration, summarizing the parameter selection law and giving a prediction formula.Based on the practically measured data of a mining area, prediction parameters were selected according to the said method.Prediction was then made for the residence subsidence of another mining area.The comparison of the predicted result with the practically measured data shows a good conformity, illustrating that this method is universally applicable and valid in certain scope.

Key words: Mining subsidence, Residue, Parameter, Prediction