于小世界网络的煤矿工人违规佩戴口罩行为传播和干预研究

金属矿山 ›› 2023, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (11): 276-282.

于小世界网络的煤矿工人违规佩戴口罩行为传播和干预研究

石晶¹ 杨鑫刚¹ 刘建国^2,³ 王天暘^3,4

1. 中国劳动关系学院安全工程学院,北京 100048;2. 北京科技大学大安全科学研究院,北京 100083;3. 国家卫生健康委粉尘危害工程防护重点实验室,北京 100083;4. 北京科技大学土木与资源工程学院,北京 100083

出版日期:2023-11-15 发布日期:2024-01-02
基金资助:
金属矿山安全与健康国家重点实验室开放基金项目 ( 编号: 2022-JSKSSYS-02); “ 十四五” 国家重点研发计划项目 ( 编号:2022YFC2903901);国家卫健委粉尘危害工程防护重点实验室开放基金项目(编号:KLECDH20220201);中国劳动关系学院教育教学改革项目(编号:JG22047)。

Study on the Spread and Intervention of Coal Miners′ Illegal Wearing of Masks Based on Small World Network

SHI Jing¹ YANG Xingang¹ LIU Jianguo^2,3 WANG Tianyang^3,4 #br#

1. School of Safety Engineering,China University of Labor Relations,Beijing 100048,China;2. Research Institute of Macro-Safety Science,University of Science and Technology Beijing,Beijing 100083,China;3. NHC Key Laboratory for Engineering Control of Dust Hazard,Beijing 100083,China;4. School of Civil and Resource Engineering,University of Science and Technology Beijing,Beijing 100083,China

Online:2023-11-15 Published:2024-01-02

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为了对煤矿工人防尘口罩违规佩戴行为进行有效控制,寻找违规行为传播和干预的影响因素,基于小世界网络构建了煤矿工人违规佩戴防尘口罩的行为传播模型。研究表明:基于小世界网络的行为传播模型可以模拟比较复杂的煤矿工人违规佩戴防尘口罩行为的传播过程,并对其做出可视化分析及预测;煤矿工人违规佩戴防尘口罩行为的传播速度随煤矿规模增大而加快,但煤矿规模超过 300 人时增速趋于平缓;当事前干预有效率达到 40%,或事后干预有效率达到 50%以上时可以防止违规佩戴防尘口罩行为大面积传播;当事前干预有效率达到 70%以上时, 可以有效阻止违规佩戴行为在工人中传播;即使事后干预有效率达到 100%,违规行为传播后仍然能够让违规工人数达到总工人数的 18. 0% ~ 22. 7%;事前干预有效率达到 20% ~ 30%,配合不同程度的事后干预,比单纯进行事前或事后干预效果更佳。

关键词: 煤矿工人, 小世界网络, 传染病模型(SIR 模型), 复杂网络, 防尘口罩

Abstract: In order to effectively control the illegal dust masks wearing of coal miners and identify the influencing factors for the spread and intervention of illegal behavior,a behavior dissemination model for coal miners wearing dust masks in violation of regulations was constructed based on a small world network. It′s showed that a behavior propagation model based on small world networks can simulate the propagation process of complex violations of dust masks worn by coal miners,and visually analyze and predict it. The spread of illegal dust masks wearing of coal miners accelerates with the increase of coal mine scale,but the growth rate tends to slow down when the coal mine scale exceeds 300 people. When the effective rate of pre-intervention reaches 40%,or the effective rate of post-intervention reaches over 50%,it can prevent the widespread spread of illegal wearing of dust masks. When the effective rate of pre-intervention reaches over 70%,it can effectively prevent the spread of illegal wearing behavior among workers. Even if the effective rate of post-intervention reaches 100%,the number of workers who violate regulations can still reach 18. 0% ~ 22. 7% of the total number of workers after the spread of violations. The effective rate of pre-intervention reaches 20% ~ 30%,with different degrees of post-intervention,the effect is better than simply using pre or post intervention.

Key words: coal miners,small world network,infectious disease model (SIR model),complex network,dust mask

石晶, 杨鑫刚, 刘建国, 王天暘. 于小世界网络的煤矿工人违规佩戴口罩行为传播和干预研究[J]. 金属矿山, 2023, 52(11): 276-282.

SHI Jing, YANG Xingang, LIU Jianguo, WANG Tianyang. Study on the Spread and Intervention of Coal Miners′ Illegal Wearing of Masks Based on Small World Network[J]. Metal Mine, 2023, 52(11): 276-282.