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金属矿山 ›› 2026, Vol. 55 ›› Issue (1): 198-207.

• 安全与环保 • 上一篇    

基于未确知测度理论的深井开采热害综合评价

郭对明1 李国清2 李宁廷1 侯 杰2 李云龙3   

  1. 1. 中国有色金属建设股份有限公司,北京 100029;2. 北京科技大学资源与安全工程学院,北京 100083;
    3. 赤峰中色白音诺尔矿业有限公司,内蒙古 赤峰 025473
  • 出版日期:2026-01-15 发布日期:2026-02-24
  • 通讯作者: 李国清(1973—),女,教授,博士,博士研究生导师。
  • 作者简介:郭对明(1992—),男,工程师,博士。
  • 基金资助:
    中国有色矿业集团有限公司青年专项基金项目(编号:2024KJQN10)。

Comprehensive Evaluation of Thermal Hazards in Deep Mining Based on the Unascertained Measure Theory

GUO Duiming1 LI Guoqing2 LI Ningting1 HOU Jie2 LI Yunlong3   

  1. 1. China Nonferrous Metal Industry's Foreign Engineering and Construction Co. ,Ltd. ,Beijing 100029,China;
    2. School of Resources and Safety Engineering,University of Science and Technology Beijing,Beijing 100083,China;
    3. Chifeng NFC Baiyinnuoer Mining Co. ,Ltd. ,Chifeng 025473,China
  • Online:2026-01-15 Published:2026-02-24

摘要: 深井开采已成为地下矿山的发展趋势,随着开采深度增加,井下高温热害问题日渐凸显,不仅影响作业
人员身心健康,同时也降低了人员设备作业效率。因此,科学准确评价井下热害程度成为开展深井热害治理的必要
前提和关键环节。针对热害评价过程中的不确定性因素对评价结果造成的失真,提出了基于未确知测度理论的深井
热害综合评价模型。首先,在热源分析与热量计算的基础上,从客观条件、干预治理和主观感受3 个方面建立了热害
综合评价指标体系。其次,确定了深井热害等级和评价指标体系各指标分级并利用灰色相关分析方法完成了模糊层
次分析法—熵权法的组合权重计算。最后,引入未确知测度理论构建了深井热害综合评价模型,完成了评价体系不
同层级未确知测度向量计算,最终得到评价目标的综合未确知测度向量并利用置信度判别准则实现了热害评价。将
该模型应用于国内某地下矿山不同中段作业面热害评价,得到了井下各中段工作面热害程度和变化情况。研究成果
解决了深部热害要素与评价尺度的不确定性问题,实现了定性与定量、主观与客观相结合的综合评价,有效提高了井
下热害评价结果的科学性。

关键词: 金属矿山 深部开采 热害评价 未确知测度理论

Abstract: Deep mining has become the development trend of underground mines. With the increase in mining depth,
high-temperature thermal hazards in underground mines have become increasingly prominent,which not only affects the physical
and mental health of operators,but also reduces the operational efficiency of personnel and equipment operations. Therefore,
scientifically and accurately evaluating the degree of underground heat damage has become a necessary prerequisite and
key link for carrying out deep well heat damage control. A comprehensive evaluation model for deep well heat damage based on
the theory of unascertained measures is proposed to address the distortion of evaluation results caused by uncertainty factors in
the evaluation process. Firstly,on the basis of heat source analysis and heat calculation,a comprehensive evaluation index system
for thermal hazards was constructed from three dimensions:objective conditions,intervention measures and subjective perceptions.
Secondly,the classification of deep well thermal hazards levels and evaluation index system indicators was determined,
and the combination weight calculation of fuzzy analytic hierarchy process-entropy weight method was completed using
grey correlation analysis method. Finally,the unascertained measurement theory was introduced to construct a comprehensive evaluation
model for deep well thermal hazards based on the unascertained measurement theory. The calculation of unascertained
measurement vectors at different levels of the evaluation system was completed,and the comprehensive unascertained measurement
vector of the evaluation target was finally obtained. The confidence criterion was used to complete the thermal hazards evaluation.
The model was applied to complete the thermal hazards evaluation of different working faces in a certain underground
mine in China,and the degree and changes of thermal hazards in each working face was obtained. The research results have addressed the uncertainty problem of deep thermal hazards factors and evaluation scales,achieved a comprehensive evaluation
combining qualitative and quantitative,subjective and objective approaches,and effectively improved the accuracy and scientific
validity of the evaluation results.

Key words: metal mine,deep mining,thermal hazards evaluation,unascertained measure theory

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