Abstract: The main factors influencing the iron ore demand are deeply analyzed on the basis of the introduction of the general situation of iron ore in the world and its present situation of supply and demand in China. Then，demand scenario model with BP software is established with the use of BP ANN，and makes a prediction based on the related data from 2001 to 2011 to obtain the future demand scenarios of iron ore minerals in China from 2013 to 2015. The results show that the import dependence of iron ore minerals in China will arrive 25%~35%，already declines but still remains relatively high.

Key words: Iron ore, Demand, Scenario analysis, BP ANN