Metal Mine ›› 2011, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (07): 66-68+117.
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Chen Haiyan1,2,Xie Zhiqin2,Cai Sijing1
Online:
Published:
Abstract: The mining investment that can be delayed is equal to a real option.Based on the improved decision-making model of best mining investment timing,the critical price and value of zinc mine investment at abroad were analyzed.The results showed that the critical price of the zinc mining investment P* is $2 069.69 and the critical value V(P*) is $348.60.It is feasible to invest the zinc mining project in 2010.The critical price of the zinc mining is most sensitive to production cost C.If the production cost C decreases by 1%,the critical price will be reduced by 0.772 1%.The critical value is most sensitive to convenience yield δ.If the convenience yield decreases by 1%,the critical value will be increased by 1.329 7%.
Key words: Real option, Mining investment timing, Critical price
CHEN Hai-Yan, XIE Zhi-Qin, CAI Si-Jing. Analysis of Mining Investment Timing based on the Real Option[J]. Metal Mine, 2011, 40(07): 66-68+117.
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