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Metal Mine ›› 2011, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (07): 66-68+117.

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Analysis of Mining Investment Timing based on the Real Option

Chen Haiyan1,2,Xie Zhiqin2,Cai Sijing1   

  1. 1.University of Science and Technology Beijing;2.China ENFI Engineering Co.,Ltd.
  • Online:2011-07-08 Published:2011-07-11

Abstract: The mining investment that can be delayed is equal to a real option.Based on the improved decision-making model of best mining investment timing,the critical price and value of zinc mine investment at abroad were analyzed.The results showed that the critical price of the zinc mining investment P* is $2 069.69 and the critical value V(P*) is $348.60.It is feasible to invest the zinc mining project in 2010.The critical price of the zinc mining is most sensitive to production cost C.If the production cost C decreases by 1%,the critical price will be reduced by 0.772 1%.The critical value is most sensitive to convenience yield δ.If the convenience yield decreases by 1%,the critical value will be increased by 1.329 7%.

Key words: Real option, Mining investment timing, Critical price